Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.645767 2.786976 2.934201 3.099607 3.280818 3.473934 3.696131
2025-11-02 2.385087 2.585603 2.804929 3.064494 3.365761 3.707531 4.129149
2025-11-09 2.202255 2.430938 2.688858 3.004764 3.386201 3.838611 4.426469
2025-11-16 2.075807 2.323386 2.609345 2.969286 3.418128 3.970773 4.722113
2025-11-23 1.999553 2.265777 2.579898 2.985272 3.506218 4.171069 5.116414
2025-11-30 1.931565 2.211753 2.548443 2.992484 3.578601 4.351476 5.497751
2025-12-07 1.836395 2.118301 2.461459 2.921143 3.539869 4.375835 5.656307
2025-12-14 1.758391 2.041827 2.390915 2.865274 3.515442 4.414315 5.834730
2025-12-21 1.705561 1.994070 2.353745 2.849859 3.543057 4.525480 6.132278
2025-12-28 1.657319 1.949699 2.318249 2.833647 3.566814 4.630583 6.429515
2026-01-04 1.622683 1.921073 2.301490 2.841134 3.623397 4.787273 6.828888
2026-01-11 1.595494 1.900737 2.294298 2.860647 3.697505 4.975411 7.306011
2026-01-18 1.562086 1.872054 2.276042 2.865503 3.753017 5.143885 7.783770
2026-01-25 1.517710 1.827401 2.234474 2.835020 3.752997 5.222470 8.106597
2026-02-01 1.468611 1.774704 2.179715 2.782397 3.714708 5.232712 8.294883
2026-02-08 1.429880 1.734687 2.140900 2.751095 3.707529 5.294615 8.597611
2026-02-15 1.408647 1.717604 2.133192 2.765203 3.773194 5.488892 9.216152
2026-02-22 1.386200 1.698008 2.120994 2.771566 3.826029 5.664421 9.828450
2026-03-01 1.343162 1.648786 2.065012 2.708571 3.759612 5.613099 9.897450
2026-03-08 1.306422 1.607387 2.019022 2.659156 3.713351 5.596073 10.048470
2026-03-15 1.282464 1.583104 1.996811 2.645510 3.726760 5.693855 10.506812
2026-03-22 1.259449 1.559514 1.974816 2.631151 3.737828 5.787623 10.975238
2026-03-29 1.243653 1.545626 1.966443 2.637783 3.785658 5.958994 11.697987